{"id":7010,"date":"2014-03-31T06:00:13","date_gmt":"2014-03-31T10:00:13","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/ncdata.wpengine.com\/?p=7010"},"modified":"2017-09-20T20:58:19","modified_gmt":"2017-09-21T00:58:19","slug":"why-should-the-administration-put-out-propaganda-about-obamacare-when-the-l-a-times-will-do-it-for-them","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nationalcenter.org\/ncppr\/2014\/03\/31\/why-should-the-administration-put-out-propaganda-about-obamacare-when-the-l-a-times-will-do-it-for-them\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Should The Administration Put Out Propaganda About ObamaCare When The L.A. Times Will Do It For Them?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>An article in yesterdays\u2019 <em>Los Angeles Times <\/em>by Noam N. Levey<em>\u00a0<\/em><a href=\"http:\/\/www.latimes.com\/nation\/la-na-obamacare-uninsured-national-20140331,0,5472960.story#ixzz2xY56JQDh\">states<\/a>:<\/p>\n<p>As the law\u2019s initial enrollment period closes, at least 9.5 million previously uninsured people have gained coverage. Some have done so through marketplaces created by the law, some through other private insurance and others through\u00a0Medicaid, which has expanded under the law in about half the states.<\/p>\n<p>To get that 9.5 million figure, Mr. Levey includes about 2 million on the exchanges, 4.5 million on Medicaid, and 3 million young adults who can now stay on their parents\u2019 insurance plans until age 26, the so-called \u201cslacker mandate.\u201d Let\u2019s\u00a0start with enrollment in the exchanges:<\/p>\n<p>\u2022 At least 6 million people have signed up for health coverage on the new marketplaces, about one-third of whom were previously uninsured.<\/p>\n<p>\u2022 A February\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.mckinsey.com\/client_service\/healthcare_systems_and_services\/latest_thinking\">survey<\/a>\u00a0by consulting firm McKinsey &amp; Co. found 27% of new enrollees were previously uninsured, but newer survey data from the nonprofit Rand Corp. and reports from marketplace officials in several states suggest that share increased in March.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\" wp-image-7011 alignleft\" src=\"https:\/\/nationalcenter.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/Shoppingcarts-1-300x300.jpg\" alt=\"Shoppingcarts\" width=\"169\" height=\"169\" \/>Um, 27% is not 33%. \u00a0That would mean the number of newly insured 1.6 million, not 2 million. \u00a0Furthermore, no where does the article acknowledge that the 6 million figure includes those who have not paid their premiums. \u00a0If those who don\u2019t pay their premiums is as high as 20% as the <em>New York Times<\/em><a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2014\/02\/14\/us\/politics\/one-in-5-buyers-of-insurance-under-new-law-did-not-pay-premiums-on-time.html?_r=0\">suggests<\/a>, then the number of newly insureds will decrease.<\/p>\n<p>The <em>Times<\/em> then moves to Medicaid:<\/p>\n<p>\u2022 At least 4.5 million previously uninsured adults have signed up for state Medicaid programs, according to Rand\u2019s unpublished survey data, which were shared with The Times. That tracks with\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/avalerehealth.net\/expertise\/managed-care\/insights\/observations-as-aca-open-enrollment-closes\">estimates<\/a>\u00a0from Avalere Health, a consulting firm that is closely following the law\u2019s implementation.<\/p>\n<p>It doesn\u2019t track <em>that closely<\/em>\u00a0with Avalere. \u00a0The <a href=\"http:\/\/avalerehealth.net\/expertise\/managed-care\/insights\/avalere-analysis-finds-2.4-million-to-3.5-million-new-medicaid-enrollees-as\">latest data<\/a> from Avalere shows that 2.4 million to 3.5 million people are newly insured under Medicaid due to the <em>ObamaCare expansion of Medicaid. \u00a0<\/em>That is, this does not include those who have signed up for Medicaid and would have qualified for Medicaid if the ObamaCare expansion had never occurred.<\/p>\n<p>Further, even the Avalere data may be inaccurate, going either way. \u00a0As Avalere acknowledges:<\/p>\n<p>This analysis compares activities from October through January to application rates from the summer of 2013. There is some evidence of seasonality in enrollment tends, and this analysis does not control for such fluctuations given data limitations.<\/p>\n<p>While Avalere takes steps to remove double counting, it is possible that some double counting is present as exchanges assess eligibility and then refer such cases to state agencies where determinations are made. In addition, in a limited number of cases, states have reported households as opposed to individual applicants, and this is not adjusted for.<\/p>\n<p>I don\u2019t have access to the RAND data yet, so I have no way to know how accurate that data is.<\/p>\n<p>The final part of the 9.5 million newly insured is the claim that \u201cAn additional 3 million young adults have gained coverage in recent years through a provision of the law that enables dependent children to remain on their parents\u2019 health plans until they turn 26.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>I\u2019m saving that for a longer piece I\u2019m working on\u2014for now, suffice to say it is bogus.<\/p>\n<p>In summary, there are numerous caveats to the data presented in the article, but Mr. Levey mentions almost none of them. \u00a0As such, the article is more propaganda than objective reporting.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>An article in yesterdays\u2019 Los Angeles Times by Noam N. Levey\u00a0states: As the law\u2019s initial enrollment period closes, at least 9.5 million previously uninsured people have gained coverage. Some have done so through marketplaces created by the law, some through other private insurance and others&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[74,24],"tags":[77],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Why Should The Administration Put Out Propaganda About ObamaCare When The L.A. 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